A real money manager must work with this volatility (like Hussman – who I invest with and deeply respect) because it shows up in their track record versus a forecaster (like Mauldin – who I read weekly and deeply respect but don’t invest based on his advice) where errors of large magnitude due to volatility do not show up in a managed track record. John Mauldin, former print shop professional and current perma-bear investment strategist, unfortunately seems to have taken a page from Aesop’s book by consistently crying for a market collapse. Your readers might find a piece I wrote examining the fallacy of market forecasting worth a few minutes of reading time. In that story, a little boy amuses himself by tricking others into falsely believing a wolf is attacking his flock of sheep. Do you? I suspect that the secular bear market that began at the valuation peak of 2000 is incomplete. That’s what does well on the web. He is the proud father of 7 children, 5 of whom are adopted. You pay a cherry price for certainty and consensus. Some of the deductions no longer available to taxpayer include those for local income taxes and personal disaster losses. A Crisis Has Already Begun... We Just Don't Know It Yet, While Americans Drown In Financial Despair, The Fed Celebrates, This Artificial Economic Boom Is Coming To An End, China's Grand Plan To Take Over The World, The Fed's Policy Is Like Swatting Flies With Nuclear Weapons, 2020 Will Be The Most Volatile Year In History, Corporate Debt Is At Risk Of A Flash Crash, The Yield Curve Inverted Months Earlier Than Most Think, Trump Is Making The Same Trade Mistake That Started The Great Depression, This Is Why Monetary Policy Is So Ineffective. Mauldin – World Beta – Engineering Targeted Returns and Risk | April 15, 2010 at 1:31 pm, […] But is he just the man who cries wolf? John Mauldin. Remember, it takes buying and lot of it to move a market up but only a lack of buying to create a bear market.”. Until then, tread lightly when it comes to acting on financial market forecasts and stick to listening to long-term, successful investors that have invested their own money through all types of market cycles. When investors, financial professionals, and discerning citizens need a big-picture view of what’s going on in the economy, they turn to John Mauldin. Dave Pinsen | April 15, 2010 at 3:02 pm. During his time at Lubbock Junior High, he learned piano, trumpet and steel guitar. For Hussman, it prompts his hedging; for Katsenelson, it prompts his “active value investing” method; for Rogers, it prompts his investment in commodities, which he believes enjoy secular bull markets when stocks are in secular bear markets. He was an actor, known for The Magic Sword (1962), The Law and Mr. Jones (1960) and General Electric Theater (1953). Now that we have entered a new year and experienced an +80% move in the market, certainly Mauldin must feel a little more comfortable about the current environment? 525% 106%. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.Mauldin’s weekly e-newsletter, Thoughts from the Frontline, was one of the first publications to provide investors with free, unbiased information and guidance. They include Bull’s Eye Investing: Targeting Real Returns in a Smoke and Mirrors Market, Just One Thing: Twelve of the World’s Best Investors Reveal the One Strategy You Can’t Overlook, and Endgame: The End of the Debt Supercycle and How it Changes Everything. Again, I’m not the author of this post.
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